ABSTRACT
Objective To examine the mortality and risk factors among HIV-infected patients during 1989-2011 in Dehong prefecture,Yunnan province.Methods All HIV-infected patients reported during 1989-2011 in Dehong prefecture who held local residency were included in the study.Mortality rates and cumulative survival rates were calculated.Multiple regression analysis under Cox proportional hazard model was conducted to examine the risk factors for deaths.Results A total of 13 006 HIV-infected patients were included in this study including 73.2％ males,79.1％ peasants and 48.7％ married at the time of reporting.64.5％ of the patients were ethnic minorities,and 68.7％ were illiterate or having received only primary school education.All the patients were followed-up for a total of 55 962.30 person-years with 4648 patients died,with overall mortality rate as 8.31/100person-years.The mortality rate had been increasing from 1990 to 2004 but decreasing since 2005.The average survival time since the identification of HIV infection was 9.48 years overall,and was 16.65 years for those having received antiretroviral treatment (ART) and 7.67 years for those without ART.Data from multiple regression analysis indicated that ART and socio-demographic characteristics such as age,gender,ethnicity,occupation,marital status,education background etc.were significantly associated with death among HIV-infected patients.Conclusion The comprehensive AIDS campaigns including ART had significantly reduced the deaths among HIV-infected patients in Dehong prefecture.More efforts on the scaling up program of ART as well as the enhanced management and follow-up program tailored for HIV-infected patients with different sociodemographic characteristics were needed to further reduce the deaths in the area.
ABSTRACT
Objective To study the natural history of HIV-1 infection among intravenous drug users (IDUs) detected in late 1989 in the study area and the factors related to survival of these IDUs infected with HIV. Methods 196 injecting drug users first detected during August and December, 1989 were observed in Ruili county, Yunnan province. Data gathered from the 20-year follow-up program was collected and analyzed retrospectively. Results After 20 years' follow-up period, 90.3% of the 196 IDUs with HIV infection died, 5.1% of them were still alive, and 4.6% were lost. The crude pre-AIDS mortality rate was 98.1/1000 person-years, and the AIDS mortality rate was 54.9/1000 person-years. Malaria, septicemia were the main causes of death among the natural diseases whereas overdose and accidental causes were the principal causes related to those non-disease deaths.The median survival time from sero-conversion to death was 8.6 years (95%CI: 7.6-9.7). The median survival time from sero-conversion to death due to AIDS was 11.3 years (95%CI: 10.3-12.8) with the incubation time as around 10.3 years. People older than 30 years at seroconversion and length of drug usage were associated with shorter survival time, with hazards ratios as 1.9 and 0.7, respectively.Conclusion A high pre-AIDS mortality was observed among IDUs. Both the median survival time from sero-conversion to death and the HIV incubation period were shorter than that observed in the developed countries. Age of HIV infection seemed to have a strong effect on survival.